DAN HODGES: This is why Starmer could still face a Tory-style wipeout at the hands of Reform and the Greens - even if Labour somehow manages to win the Gorton and Denton by-election

Before I left for the Gorton and Denton by-election, a Labour minister delivered the following upbeat message: 'Everyone thinks Nigel Farage is going to walk it. But I don't think he will.'