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The GuardianEconomyUnited Kingdom

Middle East crisis could push UK inflation back up to 3%, warns OBR

Government economic watchdog believes pressure on energy prices could push rate close to 3% by end of 2026UK inflation could end the year higher than previously expected at 3% because of the US-Israel war in Iran, the government’s economics watchdog has warned.David Miles, a senior figure at the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), said inflation could end the year close to 3% – a percentage point higher than expected before the war – because of the energy price shock triggered by the crisis in the Middle East. The UK’s official inflation target is 2%.

Last updated 1h ago
The GuardianHumanity

How a bid for freedom by Iran’s women footballers went deep into extra time

The furore over not singing their anthem at the Asian Cup was only the start of the drama as players weighed up a chance to seek asylum amid uncertainty about their fate back homeGet our , or Rarely has a first touch carried so much consequence.As the Philippines’ second goal sailed untouched into the back of the net, sealing their victory, the clock started ticking for their opponents: the Iranian women’s team were now out of the Asia Cup tournament.

Last updated 6h ago
DawnDiplomacy

The sinking of IRIS Dena: A quiet death of the rules-based order

At 05:08 local time, in international waters 40 nautical miles south of Galle, Sri Lanka, a Mark 48 heavyweight torpedo — one of two fired, with the first missing its mark — struck the IRIS Dena beneath her keel. She was returning from India’s MILAN 2026 multinational naval exercise at Visakhapatnam as an officially invited guest, and was unarmed in accordance with the exercise’s return-voyage protocol.

Last updated 12h ago
The GuardianPoliticsIran

Iran’s new supreme leader is a figure of mystery, but the symbolism is clear: the regime fights on | Sina Toossi

The rarely seen Mojtaba Khamenei is a surprise appointment, but his accession is above all a statement of defianceWhen Mojtaba Khamenei was , many observers reacted with surprise. For decades, the son of had been a shadowy figure in Iranian politics, rarely seen in public and almost never heard speaking.He has never given interviews, has held no elected office and appears publicly only on rare ceremonial occasions. Even among political insiders, knowledge of his views is fragmentary. What little is known about him consists of scattered anecdotes: brief involvement in the Iran-Iraq war as a young man, occasional appearances in political circles and a long association with figures inside Iran’s security establishment.

Last updated 7h ago
The GuardianWar & ConflictIslamic World

Tehran endures ‘worst night of strikes’ amid mixed US messages about more to come

Hegseth follows Trump’s suggestion war will soon be over by saying US will not stop until Iran ‘decisively defeated’Tehran residents say the Iranian capital has endured what they described as its worst night of aerial bombardment, as the US defense secretary, Pete Hegseth, followed Donald Trump’s suggestion on Monday the war could soon be over with a warning of more strikes to come.“We are under heavy bombardment and I can hear back-to-back explosions. The place they hit has caught fire. It’s not clear where it exploded, but the buildings are shaking,” Niloufar, who lives in east Tehran said early on Tuesday, speaking under a pseudonym for security reasons. “They are destroying Iran,” they added, saying there were low-flying jets above.

Last updated 0h ago
The GuardianCombat SportsUSA

Louis Theroux’s 20 best documentaries: from Savile and Scientology to prisons and painkillers

He’s wrestled until he vomits, posed naked for adult photos and now he’s about to take on the manosphere for Netflix. We look back at the interviewer’s most jaw-dropping showsIt has been almost 30 years since Louis Theroux began making documentaries for the BBC. Few could have predicted that the endearingly dorky figure who made his first series, Weird Weekends – throwing himself, gonzo-style, into strange American subcultures – would become a public figure as famous as many of his celebrity interviewees.With nearly 100 BBC titles under his belt, Theroux is now moving over to Netflix. Inside the Manosphere, the first programme he has presented for the streamer, dives into the world of the men’s rights movement, and explorations of masculinity, in the extremely online era. Ahead of its release on 11 March, we pick out 20 of Theroux’s finest docs to date.

Last updated 3h ago
The GuardianOpinionUSA

Democrats must defund Trump’s imperial war | David Sirota, Jared Jacang Maher, Laura Krantz and Ron S Doyle

Trump is wielding imperial powers created by a decades-long master plan. The only way to stop his war is to cut off the moneyDonald Trump has now ordered on more countries than any prior president. These assaults do not merely betray his . Launched without congressional authorization, Trump’s bombings and incursions also betray the constitution – an inherently anti-monarch document that exclusively vests warmaking powers in the legislative branch in order to prevent such grave decisions from being made by any one person determined to become a king.Trump clearly perceives himself in such royal terms – he’s . But as we show in the new season of our investigative podcast series , Trump did not create the kingly authority he is now employing. He is exercising powers concentrated in the executive branch by previous presidents and courts. And if history is any guide, the only weapon that can stop a mad king is Congress’s power of the purse – a power that Democrats once effectively wielded, but today seem hesitant to brandish, even amid a wildly unpopular Iran incursion that some fear is a precursor to the second world war.

Last updated 8h ago
The GuardianInformationGermany

Why independent bookshops strike fear in the heart of Germany’s culture tsar | Fatma Aydemir

First he came for Berlin’s film festival. Now it’s books. Wolfram Weimer seems to be on a mission to curb progressive thinkingThere is a particular kind of danger that smells like paper and dust. You find it in independent bookshops. Those with uneven wooden floors and handwritten staff recommendations, where someone has shelved next to Karl Marx and a debut novelist from Neukölln. Places where no algorithm is trying to guess who you are before you have the chance to change your mind.I walk in for a novel and walk out with a theory of the state, a pamphlet on housing struggles, a Palestinian poet I had never heard of. No “for you” page in an online store would have suggested it. The bookseller did. Independent bookshops are dangerous because they interrupt us. They do not optimise our curiosity. They derail it. Is that the reason why Germany’s culture commissioner, Wolfram Weimer, is now consulting the domestic intelligence agency before ?Fatma Aydemir is a Berlin-based author, novelist, playwright and a Guardian Europe columnist

Last updated 13h ago
The GuardianOpinionSouth Africa

How the US far right bought into the myth of white South Africa’s persecution

When Trump granted white South Africans refugee status, he was echoing a falsehood about Black people taking revenge for years of brutality. But no one flourishes in a repressive police stateThere’s a little town in the scrub in South Africa – a full day’s drive from the country’s big cities – that has become perhaps the most scrutinised place on earth, given its size. It is 9 sq km (3.5 sq miles) of suburban-style houses harbouring about 3,000 people, with a main drag, a municipal swimming pool, one gas station and some pecan farms. Nothing of consequence ever really happens there, a fact the townspeople take as a point of pride. And yet over the past three decades, dozens of English-language news outlets have made a pilgrimage to it, often more than once. The New York Times alone has run four dedicated profiles. The essays have kept pace year after year, quoting the same people over and over, even as nothing of note occurred. There’s been no war, no disaster.That changelessness is the point. No people of colour are allowed to live in the town, called Orania. The name is a nod to the river that runs nearby – and to the Orange Free State, the apartheid-era designation for the province in which it lies. Orania’s founders established it in 1991, the year after South Africa’s best-known Black liberation leader (and future president), Nelson Mandela, was freed following 27 years in prison.

Last updated 13h ago
The GuardianWar & ConflictIran

Bombing of Iran’s oil infrastructure to have major environmental fallout, experts warn

Monitors admit they are struggling to keep track of the environmental disasters arising from widening warIsrael’s bombing of will have major long-term environmental repercussions, experts have warned, as monitors admitted they were struggling to keep track of the environmental disasters arising from the widening war.Even as Iranians filled the streets to mark the appointment of a new supreme leader, the Shahran oil depot north-east of Tehran and the Shahr-e fuel depot to its south , two days after they were bombed by Israeli warplanes.

Last updated 13h ago